Market analysis routine

A research routine exists to reduce random decisions. When the process is clear, the market becomes a sequence of repeatable steps rather than a lottery.

1. Start with context, not an idea

Before looking at any specific asset, understand:

• the overall market regime (uptrend, range, downtrend);
• what is driving participants’ attention;
• whether you are looking for a trade where doing nothing might be better.

Context does not give you the answer, but it removes a lot of unnecessary hypotheses.

2. A thesis needs a failure scenario

If the idea sounds like “it might go up”, that is not a thesis. You need two parts:

1. Why the idea deserves attention (fundamentals, technicals, on-chain).
2. What will show that the idea no longer works (a specific level, event, or condition).

The second part protects against self-deception and endless waiting.

3. Risk sizing happens before entry

The order is always:

1. Determine the maximum loss you can accept.
2. Calculate position size based on the stop-loss.
3. Only then decide whether to enter.

If size is determined after entry, it is no longer risk management — it is emotion.

4. Do not try to analyze everything at once

A limited watchlist works better than trying to track 50 coins. Keep 5-10 assets in focus and check the rest on a schedule.

5. Consistency beats depth

A short daily review is more useful than a deep analysis once a week. The routine works when it is stable — even if some days the conclusion is “do nothing today.”

How it works at Bull Trading

At Bull Trading, a morning market overview goes out daily on the public channel. In the closed community — detailed scenarios, specific ideas, and daily portfolio reports.